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Print at Jun 2, 2020 3:44:56 AM
|Posted by Gillie017 at May 9, 2009 9:01:42 PM|
Re: Conference of the Monarch (Thoughts)
You "think" it is no different but you don't know for sure. I "think" it could be quite different but I don't know for sure. The multiple sampling I suggested would eliminate any potential bias from choosing just one point in time.
People were saying that you cannot simply sample all pirates who have been active over the past 10 days because this give equal weighting to greenies who log on and never come back, labour alts and addicts who are on all the time. This is the flaw with the numbers generated by Lizthegrey. Sampling from those online at a particular point in time overcomes those flaws. You sampled jobbers only and biased your results towards those on ships which are in no way representative of the "average" pirate.
The uniformity of the arches is irrelevant. You sampled people who were in the arch at the time, not those who call it their home. If a popular SMH chart had one or two frigs on the board in a different arch to where you did your sample then there were a lot of pirates who could not have been counted by you. Similarly if the arch you were in had a lot of greenie WB pillages out, you over-represented them in your sample.
It only works if the sampling frame is not biased.
I said before the sampling scheme is extremely important. Your sampling failed in a number of important ways, this is why your results are meaningless.
If a bird looks like a duck, swims like a duck and quacks like a duck, then it's probably a Huntard .
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